If you run a startup or a growing small business, there is one metric that matters more than any other: your Runway. It answers a very simple and very uncomfortable question: how many months can you keep operating before you run out of money?
In this guide we explain what it is, how to calculate it step by step, how to interpret it depending on your stage, and what to do when the number you see is not the one you want. At the end you will find a free calculator to work it out in seconds.
What exactly is Runway?
Runway (as in a plane's take-off strip) is the number of months your company can keep operating with the cash it has in the bank, assuming your current expenses and revenue stay the same. It is a snapshot of how much time you have left before you need to raise capital, cut costs or generate more revenue.
For founders it is probably the most critical metric in the business. It does not matter how many users you have, how many features you have shipped or how good your technology is: if your Runway hits zero, it is over.
The Runway formula
The basic formula is straightforward:
Runway = Current cash ÷ Monthly burn rate
Where the burn rate is how much money you lose (or burn) each month
The burn rate is the difference between your monthly expenses and your monthly revenue. If you spend more than you bring in, you are "burning" money every month — that is your burn rate.
Net burn rate vs gross burn rate
It helps to distinguish two variants:
- Gross burn rate: your total monthly expenses (without subtracting revenue). Useful for pre-revenue companies or those with very small revenue.
- Net burn rate: expenses minus revenue. This is the number that actually drains your cash. It is the one you should use to calculate Runway.
A worked example
Say you have a SaaS startup with these numbers:
- Current cash in the bank: $150,000
- Monthly expenses: $25,000 (salaries, servers, marketing, etc.)
- Monthly recurring revenue: $10,000
Your net burn rate is: $25,000 − $10,000 = $15,000/month
Your Runway is: $150,000 ÷ $15,000 = 10 months
Those 10 months are the time you have before you run out of cash, if everything stays the same. Spoiler: nothing ever stays the same.
What Runway is "good"?
The answer depends on your stage, but these are the benchmarks the startup world works with:
Red zone. You should be actively raising capital or cutting costs TODAY.
Yellow zone. Start preparing your next round or your break-even plan.
Green zone. You have room to execute, experiment and reach solid metrics.
The classic Silicon Valley benchmark is 18-24 months after each round. Any less than that and you are running too tight.
3 common mistakes when calculating Runway
1. Leaving out some expenses
It is easy to forget annual payments (SaaS tools, insurance, taxes). Review your last 3 full months and adjust for recurring charges that are not monthly.
2. Using projected revenue instead of actual revenue
Runway should be calculated with revenue that is already invoiced and collected. Projections are a different thing (that is your financial model). Be conservative here.
3. Never updating it
Your Runway changes every month. It should be a metric you review weekly. Many founders only calculate it when it is already too late.
What to do if your Runway is short
You have four levers, in order of impact:
- Reduce burn: cut non-essential spending, pause hiring, renegotiate contracts. It is the fastest option and 100% within your control.
- Accelerate revenue: raise prices, bill annually up front, activate cross-sell.
- Raise capital: bridge round, venture debt, revenue-based financing. It takes time (3-6 months typically).
- Pivot: change your model or market. A last resort, but sometimes it is the right call.
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Use the calculatorConclusion
Calculating your Runway does not solve the problem, but it gives you something many founders do not have: clarity on how much time you have to act. And in startups, time is the one resource you cannot replace.
The best decision you can make today is to measure it. The second best is to automate it, so you do not have to recalculate it by hand every week. That is exactly why we built Hayes Strategic: so your critical metrics are always up to date without you touching a spreadsheet.